Every year, the Preventive Priorities Survey asks experts to rank thirty conflict scenarios in terms of likelihood and potential impact. This year’s results paint a picture of a more violent and ...

New study by Bloomberg Intelligence and Bloomberg Economics looks at the impact of four scenarios in the context of the ongoing Israel-Hamas conflict A prolonged direct conflict between Israel and ...

Using the macroeconomic data as a foundation and considering recent developments in the tariff conflict, we propose two stress-test scenario assumptions. To ensure that the correlation matrix used in ...

Investors must diversify aggressively and hedge thoughtfully. Hope for peace - but prepare realistically for ongoing chaos. Some mornings you wake up to coffee. Other mornings, you wake up to Brent ...

The US deployed over 15,000 troops near Venezuela with $36M in prediction market volume tracking potential military conflict. Defense contractors LMT, RTX and NOC would benefit from equipment demand ...